Finance

Cryptocurrency Market Experiences Downturn Amidst Anticipation of Fed Rate Cuts and US-China Trade Talks

2025-10-28

Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and XRP experienced a notable decline on Monday. This market correction occurred amidst growing investor anticipation of a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction and ahead of a crucial meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping to address trade relations. Concurrently, traditional stock markets demonstrated strong performance, reaching record highs.

Crypto Market Dips as Stocks Soar on Economic Optimism

On October 27, 2025, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a significant downturn, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of global stock markets. Bitcoin, after a brief Sunday rally, receded to the $114,000 range, accompanied by a 35% surge in trading volume, indicating strong selling pressure. Ethereum also saw a 1.26% dip, with its trading volume increasing by 27%. Other prominent digital assets, including XRP and Solana, followed suit, experiencing similar pullbacks. Data from Coinglass revealed that cryptocurrency liquidations amounted to $307 million within a 24-hour period, with over $190 million in long positions being closed. Despite a marginal 0.10% decrease in Bitcoin's open interest, the majority of traders on platforms like Binance maintained long positions on BTC. The broader crypto market remained in a \"Neutral\" state, according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, with the total market capitalization contracting by 0.75% to $3.86 trillion.

In stark contrast, the stock market achieved new peaks on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.71% to 47,544.59, the S&P 500 climbed 1.23% to 6,875.16, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.86% to 23,637.46. This surge was fueled by investor optimism regarding the potential for an extended trade truce between the United States and China, ahead of a high-stakes meeting scheduled in South Korea on Thursday between President Trump and President Xi. Furthermore, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve implementing a 25 basis point rate cut, estimated at 97% by the CME FedWatch tool, contributed to the prevailing bullish sentiment in traditional markets.

Amidst the volatility, prominent analysts offered insights into the future trajectory of cryptocurrencies. Michaël van de Poppe, a respected analyst, suggested that Bitcoin's correction was a pre-Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) event, projecting a potential retest of the $112,000 area before a new all-time high. Crypto commentator Ted Pillows highlighted robust buy orders for Ethereum between $4,050 and $4,100, alongside resistance at $4,300 on Binance. Pillows anticipated a rapid upward movement for Ethereum if bulls manage to reclaim the $4,300 zone.

This market activity underscores the dynamic interplay between macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment across both traditional and digital asset classes. The divergence between the crypto market's short-term correction and the stock market's upward momentum highlights the differing sensitivities of these markets to broader economic and political developments.

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